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Recruitics Talent Market Index: Federal Workforce Transition Drives Hiring Strategies as Recruitment Costs Rise Across Key Sectors in January

January Report Highlights Sectors Poised to Benefit from Shifts in Government Hiring and Potential Effects on the Labor Market 


Recruitics, a leader in recruitment marketing and AI-driven analytics, has released its January 2025 Talent Market Index, offering valuable insights into hiring costs and labor market dynamics. By tracking the fluctuating costs of talent acquisition through paid media, the Talent Market Index delivers unique insights into sector-specific trends and the evolving talent landscape. The January report reflects a labor market in flux, shaped by sector-specific trends, rising talent attraction prices, and a notable shift in federal workforce dynamics. 

"January revealed new trends across key sectors as employers face rising recruitment costs and ongoing labor shortages. While healthcare and retail showed steady increases in talent acquisition costs, sectors like hospitality and transportation & logistics are seeing year-over-year costs skyrocket due to heightened competition for talent. At the same time, the shift of federal employees into the private sector is expected to have significant effects on the labor market, reshaping hiring strategies in the months ahead," said Adam Stafford, CEO of Recruitics.


Key January 2025 Highlights:

  • Varied Job Segment Demand: Month-over-month hiring costs decreased across most industries, but food service and retail saw costs remain elevated.
  • Labor Market Tightness Persists: Year-over-year hiring costs remain high in critical sectors, highlighting continued challenges in meeting talent demands.
  • Healthcare: Job growth continued, with 44,000 jobs added. Hiring costs fell -4.58% MoM, but increased 2.46% YoY.
  • Hospitality: Soaring hiring costs up 225% YoY, driven by competition in seasonal locations.
  • IT & Related Roles: Hiring costs rose +63.95% YoY, highlighting persistent demand for specialists in cybersecurity, AI, and cloud infrastructure.
  • Retail: Job growth of 34,000 jobs post-holiday. Hiring costs remain elevated, signaling strong demand.
  • Transportation & Logistics: Recruitment costs rose 131.25% YoY, reflecting sustained demand.

Federal Workforce Shift: A Major Driver of Change in the Labor Market

With over 2.4 million federal employees in the U.S., the transition of federal workers into private-sector roles could have far-reaching implications and was one of the most significant labor market developments in January. This movement is expected to influence wages, talent supply, and hiring competition across multiple fields. Wages could ease and hiring costs stabilize in sectors seeing increased talent supply as more federal workers transition to the private sector.

“The shift of federal workers to the private sector represents a seismic change in the labor market, as specialized talent becomes more abundant. Employers in sectors like cybersecurity, IT, and government contracting will face new challenges and opportunities. The increased supply of highly skilled workers could lead to wage stabilization in high-demand fields, but it will also intensify competition, particularly in the most sought-after roles,” said Stafford. “Employers must adapt their hiring strategies – including their messaging and the channels that they use to advertise open jobs – to attract this newly available talent in an increasingly tight labor market.”

Driven by government job eliminations and buyouts, the shift of federal workers to private sector jobs could significantly impact specialized industries. 

Aerospace & Defense: Ongoing demand for roles requiring high-level security clearances.
Cybersecurity & IT: Federal IT professionals with expertise in government systems and cyber defense are highly sought after.
Government Contracting: A significant number of federal workers are likely to transition into private companies that work directly with the government.

To dive deeper into the findings and explore the full January 2025 Talent Market Index, Click Here.

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About Recruitics

Recruitics delivered the first programmatic job advertising solution and continues to pioneer category-defining technology for end-to-end talent attraction, conversion, and analytics. Recruitics puts AI-powered tools and data into the hands of industry-leading strategists to improve hiring outcomes for talent acquisition teams worldwide. With a best-in-class platform and a commitment to continuous innovation, Recruitics makes it easy for the world's leading companies to attract and hire exceptional talent.

To learn more, contact us or write to info@recruitics.com.

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